Okay, so it’s probably apparent that I pay closer attention to Western Conference hockey than Eastern. That’s because my heart still belongs to the Norris Division, truthfully. Also, living in NYC, I get a steady diet of Islander, Ranger, and Devil hockey. Two of those three didn’t make it to post-season, the third got upset. The Islanders are generally unwatchable. I like the Rangers mostly (there, I said it). The calm of Lundqvist in the midst of shitty, defenseless deluges brings me joy. But that joy is always quashed by the heartbreak of Henrik’s headhanging after another 1-0 or 2-0 or 2-1 loss. Gaborik possesses a nose for open space, and has body control to complement (see 2-1 loss). Drury, despite his detractors, never takes a shift off. Callahan, at 25, didn’t have the year many expected, but he’s still fun to watch (Blueshirts are still waiting for a repeat of the 84 pts he had with the Guelph Storm of the OHL four years ago—they may have to wait a while). Nonetheless, only two months in, I got the picture: Lundqvist is spectacular, but the Rangers offense has the potency of a paraplegic’s schwanz. The Devils are a guilty pleasure. Love the players, hate the game. Elias, Parise, Zajak—so very good.
You would think then that I’d have a handle on the East. Problem is, every time I watch, it’s Rangers vs. Devils, or Isles vs. Devils, or Rangers vs. Isles…you get the point. I know it’s not literally that way, but sure seems like it. Outside of the Caps and Pens (who were on either Versus or NBC on a weekly basis), I didn’t see or listen (XM subscriber here) to many Eastern Conference games. But excuses are like assholes…uhhh…there’s a lot of them in New York (see Mangini, Eric; Knicks, Isiah Thomas Era ). Simply put, I blew it.
But the West! Oh, the West! The Western Conference was a buxom bimbo to my Tiger. I nailed it. I nailed every one of’em. But enough of this…on to round 2!

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Sharks (1) vs. Red Wings (5)

So I got pulled into a marketing meeting yesterday. I’m not sure why. To me, marketing revolves around whether or not I need bread or orange juice. Apparently, there are two kinds of marketing. Suffice it to say, I didn’t have much to contribute in the meeting, and worse, this kept me from doing something far more important—NHL round two playoff predictions.
Now, anyone who knows me knows a couple of things: 1) I wear a lot of blue, and 2) I don’t cotton to anything Red Wings. Therefore, long before San Jose and Detroit stepped on the ice last night, I knew I was going with the Sharks. I actually don’t see a large disparity between the four lines on these teams. Ultimately, this comes down to two people—Jimmy Howard and Evgeni Nabakov. Plagued with a lackluster playoff past, Nabakov had a decent first round—decent, not great. On the other hand, Howard, a Calder nominee, looked like a rookie in round one. A 2.77 GAA is not going to cut it against the Sharks.

Blackhawks (2) vs. Canucks (3)

The best part about the Habs upsetting the Caps is that NBC didn’t get the chance to blow their collective wads over a Crosby/Ovechkin match-up. I understand why they play these individuals up (I guess I do understand some marketing strategy); they’re both really, really, really good. But the NHL is not the NBA. It’s a team sport won by teams. Hockey skate endorsements don’t generate a lot of ad campaigns. Hockey players don’t make good muppets. These are empirical facts.
What all this means is that NBC will have to redirect their attentions, and the sports world is about to be awakened to what (many have said is becoming, but to those close to these teams already know) is one of the best current rivalries in sports.

Following a brutal six-game Western Conference semifinal that culminated in a Hawks 7-5 win (Kane 3 G), these teams split the ’09-10 season series, each going 1-1 at their respective homes.

This series couldn’t possibly be a tougher call. Instead of belaboring what will ultimately (for me) come down to a coin flip, I’ll highlight these keys:
1. Can the Hawks slow down Mikael Samuelsson? He scored at least one point in every first round game. He also had three goals versus the Hawks in the regular season.
2. Can Byfuglien fustigate Luongo as much as he did in ’08-09?
3. Who keeps their cool? As mentioned, these teams really don’t enjoy each other’s company. Stupid penalties must be minimized by both sides for either to have a chance.
4. How do the teams respond in the face of the stupid penalties that are likely to surface?

Now to the pick: I’m going Hawks. Here’s why: special teams. The Canuckleheads didn’t sparkle on the PK in round one. I mean, it was abysmal. The Hawks weren’t awesome with the extra man against the Preds, but that won’t last forever. The Hawk PP is too good, especially with a (seemingly) recovered Brian Campbell.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Penguins (4) vs. Canadiens (8)

By now, everyone has heard of the heroics of Jaroslav Halak. Slovakian legend now states that Halak killed the giant who overturned Bratislava Castle each morning by deflecting pucks in his eyes. I say we look elsewhere on this team.

Michael Cammilleri had 5 G, 5 A in round one. He tallied in all seven games. Plekanec, Gomez, Gionta, and Kostitsyn round off an adequate attack. Josh Gorges and Hal Gill are the unsung heroes of round one. They were the Pippen and Grant to Halak's Jordan. Without those two, Caps win.

The Pens, though, are not the Capitals. They have greater depth and diversity in styles of play. I'll break it down ESPN-style--which means I'll only cover highlights of known entities. Just look at play reels of Ovi and the Kid. Ovechkin is spectacular, don't get me wrong, but he likes to work in open ice and/or heading straight at the net. For Halak, this is easy. Then watch Crosby. He makes space on the ice, and he's a threat from every point on the ice. He can get Halak looking one way, then set up a play that takes Halak the other. Also, Pittsburgh is a healthy mix of old and young. They won't get rattled as easily as the Caps. The third period of game 7 between Montreal and Washington was 20 minutes of panic by the home team.

Halak can make a difference, but the Pens will be too much.


Bruins (6) vs. Flyers (7)

Brian Boucher was not that good during the regular season. In the playoffs, he's been amazing. I don't get it. I didn't see it coming. I'm not sure anyone did. Maybe his mom. Maybe.

The Flyers have to get leads to win this series. They got good at that against NJ. Once they lead, they sit on the puck--and that they do well. It isn't enthralling, but it works. Problem is will they get those same chances against Boston. I say no.

Tuukka Rask has made the name Tim Thomas synonymous with "NBA journeyman" once again. Tim Thomas, you may recall, kept Ryan Miller's seat warm in Vancouver. Thomas now does the same for Rask.

A big factor in this series is the impact Savard will have on his return. He missed much of the season with a knee problem and the much publicized decapitation. If he can play anywhere near normal, the Bruins become a scary team.

Most importantly though, the real winners of this series are all of us who don't have to sit amongst either of these team's fans.

Bruins take this.

-Kyle Wills